Dato' Wan Azizah won the Permatang Pauh parliamentary seat in the last election by a majority of 13,388 votes. If there is a swing of 7,000 votes towards BN, then BN will emerge as winner through a simple majority victory.
Factors that may lead to a BN triumph :
a) Malay voters --> the soul and struggle of grassroot UMNO are still very relevant to them.
b) Chinese voters --> stability is their priority, a chaotic reform will drive them away.
c) Indian voters --> the impact from Hindraf is diminishing.
d) The impact of petrol price hike is being absorbed by the society, day by day.
e) Polling day falls on Tuesday, outstation working class voters are facing some constraints to fulfil their responsibility.
f) Full BN machinery will be focus on Permatang Pauh.
g) The coalition of Pakatan Rakyat is not as solid as one thought.
